Counteroffer Evaluator

Decide whether to accept your current employer's counter or take the outside offer based on total comp and risk.

Outside offer total comp $200,000

Counteroffer total comp $215,000

Probability you stay 24+ months if you accept 45%

Career horizon (years) 5 years

Outside role growth rate 6%

Recommended path

Higher expected lifetime comp

Lifetime value: counter

Lifetime value: outside

Expected lifetime compensation

💡 Counteroffer insight

Counteroffer Evaluator

The Counteroffer Evaluator runs an honest expected value comparison between accepting your current employer's counteroffer and taking the outside offer in your hand. You enter the outside offer's total comp, the counter's total comp, the probability you actually stay twenty-four months if you accept, your career horizon in years, and the growth rate you expect at the outside role. The calculator returns the expected lifetime compensation under each path and a recommendation. Use it the day a counter lands on the table. The trap is that counters look great on day one but a meaningful share of accepted counters end in departure within twelve months, which means you have to weight the counter scenario by your honest stay probability rather than the headline number.