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Employment Income

Offer Probability

Estimate your odds of landing an offer after each interview round based on stage-by-stage conversion.
Probability of an offer
0%
From your current stage to signed offer
Stages remaining
0
Probability from kickoff
0%
Cumulative probability by stage
💡 Probability insight
Stage rates compound multiplicatively. Use your real numbers from the last three searches when possible.
🏛 Predictable Income

Offer Probability Calculator

The Offer Probability Calculator gives you an honest signal on your odds at any point in an interview process. You select the stage you have already cleared, then enter your historical pass rates for each round: phone screen, hiring manager, technical or case, and final onsite. The calculator returns your probability of receiving an offer from your current position, the number of rounds remaining, and the cumulative probability from a cold start. Use it after every round to size your behavior. If your remaining odds are sixty percent, you keep the other pipelines warm; if they are ten percent, you accelerate the next process you are in. Most candidates over-index on the one process they want most and under-invest in the alternatives that protect their leverage.